Productia interna de gaze de sist a UE poate crea un milion de locuri de muncaEU Domestic Shale Gas Production Could Add a Million Jobs, New Study Shows

Dezvoltarea sectorului gazelor de sist in Europa ar putea crea un milion de locuri de munca, ar face industria mai competitiva si ar reduce dependenta acestei regiuni de importurile de energie, potrivit unui studiu publicat recent.

Cercetarea, comandata de International Oil and Gas Producers Association (OGP) si efectuata de consultantii independenti Poyry Management Consulting si Cambridge Econometrics, a cuantificat pentru prima data avantajele pe care le-ar obtine economia Europei de pe urma productiei proprii de gaze de sist. Gazele de sist ar putea aduce o crestere economica de 1,7 miliarde pana la 3,8 miliarde euro intre 2020 si 2050.

“Europa se afla inca intr-o perioada de recuperare dificila in plan economic si social. Acest nou studiu arata ca productia de gaze de sist ar putea prezenta avantaje economice semnificative”, a declarat Roland Festor, director pentru afaceri europene al OGP. “Desi impactul nu ar fi atat de hotarator ca si in Statele Unite, dezvoltarea sectorului gazelor de sist in Europa ar putea beneficia la maximum de lectiile invatate”, a explicat acesta.

“Nu ne putem permite sa ignoram o astfel de ocazie. Fiecare metru cub de gaz produs din resursele de gaze de sist ale UE inseamna un metru cub de gaz importat mai putin. Asta ar insemna mai multe locuri de munca, mai multe venituri disponibile, un grad mai ridicat de siguranta a aprovizionarii si in ultima instanta mai multa prosperitate”, a detaliat Festor. “Incurajam decidentii politici sa creeze conditiile corespunzatoare pentru explorare”, a mai spus el.

Studiul a modelat impactul dezvoltarii sectorului intern al gazelor de sist asupra economiei intregii Uniuni Europene, dupa trei scenarii diferite, fiecare cu alt nivel de productie.

Potrivit acestor rezultate, operatiunile cu gaze de sist ar putea duce la crearea a 400.000 pana la 800.000 de locuri de munca pana in 2035 si a 600.000 pana la 1.100.000 pana in 2050. Multe dintre aceste locuri de munca ar fi in industriile cele mai afectate de criza din Europa si ar fi un plus net la orice alte locuri de munca create in alte sectoare, inclusiv domeniul energiei regenerabile.

Productia interna ar putea reduce dependenta de gazele de import la 62-78%, pe langa scaderea prognozata a cererii la 89% pana in 2035. Cu cat cheltuielile Europei pentru importuri de energie sunt mai mici, cu atat se poate investi mai mult pe plan intern, stimulandu-se astfel economiile nationale si locale. Intre 2020 si 2050, investitiile in UE ar putea creste cu 191 miliarde de euro, iar veniturile din taxe cu 1200 de miliarde de euro.

Productia interna de gaz ar reduce de asemenea preturile la energie, comparativ cu scenariul fara gaze de sist. Preturile relativ mai mici ar creste veniturile disponibile ale populatiei si ar reduce costurile in industrie, facand produsele Europene mai competitive pe plan international.

Studiul complet efectuat de Poyry Management Consulting si Cambridge Econometrics este disponibil la http://www.poyry.co.uk/news/poyry-study-investigates-macroeconomic-effects-european-shale-gas-productionThe development of shale gas in Europe could add as many as one million jobs to the economy, make industry more competitive and decrease the region’s dependence on energy imports, according to a new study released today.

The research, commissioned by International Oil and Gas Producers Association (OGP) and carried out by the independent consultancies Poyry Management Consulting and Cambridge Econometrics, has quantified for the first time how much Europe’s economy could benefit from domestic shale gas production. Shale gas could add a total of 1.7 trillion to 3.8 trillion euros to the economy between 2020 and 2050.

“Europe is still in a period of difficult economic and social recovery. This new study shows that shale gas production could have significant economic benefits,” said Roland Festor, OGP’s EU affairs director. “While it may not be a game changer as in the United States, shale gas development in Europe could take full advantage of the lessons learned,” he explained.

“We cannot afford to forego such an opportunity; every cubic meter of gas produced from EU shale resources means one cubic meter less of imported gas. That would translate into more jobs, more disposable income, better security of supply and ultimately more prosperity,” Mr. Festor explained. “We encourage policy makers to create the right conditions for exploration,” he said.

The study modelled the impact of domestic shale gas development on the economy of the EU28, using three different scenarios, each with differing production levels.

According to the results, shale gas operations could trigger the creation of between 400,000 and 800,000 new jobs by 2035, and between 600,000 to 1.1 million by 2050. Many of these jobs would be in the industries most affected by Europe’s crisis – and would be in net addition to any new jobs generated by other sectors, including the renewable energy industry.

Domestic production could reduce dependence on gas imports to between 62% and 78%, down from an otherwise predicted 89% of demand in 2035. The less Europe spends on energy imports, the more it can invest internally, stimulating national and local economies. Between 2020 and 2050, investment in the EU could increase by 191 billion euros, while tax revenues could increase by 1.2 trillion euros.

Indigenous gas production could also reduce energy prices compared with a no-shale gas scenario. Relatively lower prices would increase the income available to households and reduce costs for industry, making European products more competitive internationally.

The full study carried out by Poyry Management Consulting and Cambridge Econometrics is available at http://www.poyry.co.uk/news/poyry-study-investigates-macroeconomic-effects-european-shale-gas-production